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Want to find out how this all began and see the individual results of each person in each team? Head to the first blog here

Wow, that was some month of data collection! I want to start off by thanking EVERYONE who volunteered their time and patience to make this happen. It is a great thing to see this come together in such a fashion that we are able to see what works, what doesn't, and above all, if its all just pure statistics. I could not have done this without the support of everyone who participated, both on and off the original teams.

Now, let's get to business. I'm not going to recap the details when you can find them in the first blog here, but I will also highlight another blog here, Titeuf24's Probability Tables for Lockboxes. This explains the inner workings of how the covers work and their probabilities, especially now that they revealed more with the Bonus Bar in the Collections window whenever you go to open the covers. Kudos to Titeuf24 for taking the time to work this out!

Now with that out of the way, let's get to the results, shall we? Bear in mind that these results show those who have reported in, including some who "Played at Home" to keep the teams at an even number between each other.

Team 10 Results
Hero Obtained in 12 - 1 of 17 / 5.88%
Hero Obtained in 11 - 1 of 17 / 5.88%
7 Covers - 8 of 17 / 47.07%
6 Covers - 6 of 17 / 35.29%
5 Covers - 1 of 17 / 5.88%

Proud Owner: Team 10 Collected Covers
Mischievous 1 Mischievous 2 Mischievous 3 Mischievous 4
Set # 20 26 31 29
Mischievous 5 Mischievous 6 Mischievous 7 Mischievous 8
Set # 19 25 22 31


Team 120 Success
Hero Obtained in 12 - 1 of 17 / 5.88%
Hero Obtained in 11 - 1 of 17 / 5.88%
7 Covers - 8 of 17 / 47.07%
6 Covers - 5 of 17 / 29.41%
5 Covers - 2 of 17 / 11.76%

Proud Owner: Team 120 Collected Covers
Mischievous 1 Mischievous 2 Mischievous 3 Mischievous 4
Set # 25 28 30 23
Mischievous 5 Mischievous 6 Mischievous 7 Mischievous 8
Set # 30 18 22 27


Whoa! This is extremely close! In fact, that is the whole point of this. Both teams had at least two participants get Loki, which nullifies the initial argument of which system is better. They got nearly the same results, close enough to call them even. Things brings about the factor of probability and luck in getting the covers before the bonus bar fills up. Once that bar is full, yes, you will get the cover, but until then, its all numbers!

Speaking of numbers, here is something else for you. Two members of the team went off the beaten path and did their own little opening style: One-by-One. JimGero and Greywolfwhite may have meant well, and honestly, it does give a bit extra data to run by. Jim opened 120 lockboxes one at a time as he got them, and he didnt do half bad, getting 7 covers from it all with only 5 duplicates to show for it. Greywolfwhite did not share his ratio in his report, but he did say that he gained Loki after 153 Lockboxes. Now, this is amazing as, as opposed to the 100% chance of a comic cover opening ten at a time, you only have a 7% chance to get one in this method. That said, these uys are pretty lucky to get this far doing this method and I applaud them for keeping track in it.

And with that, we come to the verdict. As close as the results came, we can honestly say that it doesnt matter if you save up your lockboxes or just open them up ten at a time, the odds will always remain the same. The Myth of Opening 120 Lockboxes is...
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SPECIAL THANKS TO
Coololets
Scarlettolivia
Dchev10
Strega13
Rilic
Fireshadowz
TheHEK
Frankenmug
NINJAelectricsword
Djcman
Techparadox
Skarlarth
DrakoBell
Rojazz
Destructoboym
Griftor
Tartiflouze
SilverScale777
Agent Pain
Amihaib
Radioboys
OmarFPG
Inspector Javert
JakeSnake
Louieheredia
Adiragnam
McGrizzled
TrickMayday
Ultron's Vision
Docbobm
SYLVESTRO1299
PotKettleBlack
Alphasyndrome
Confirmationbias
Daneth
JimGero
Greywolfwhite
...and everyone who followed along!

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